Palm Rises To 1-1/2 Mth High; Marks Biggest Monthly Gain Since April 2009

KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 30 (Reuters) – Malaysian palm oil futures rose to their highest in one-and-a-half months on Tuesday and recorded their biggest monthly rise in more than five years, as strong export demand and gains in Chinese soyoil markets lifted sentiment.

Despite the swift recovery in palm prices this month, underlying concerns about swelling oilseed supplies capped the rally and pulled palm to post its biggest quarterly drop in two years.

Exports of Malaysian palm oil products for September rose 16.3 percent from a month earlier to 1,497,828 tonnes, cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services said, thanks to robust demand from India, China and Europe.

Another cargo surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance showed that exports for the same period rose 16.5 percent. Both surveyors reported bigger crude palm oil shipments compared to August. PALM/SGS

The recovery in export demand would help prevent another jump in inventories in the No.2 producer, traders said.
“The market is holding very well on the back of exports and the Dalian which is up a bit,” said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Kuala Lumpur. “It’s in a trading range between 2,170 and 2,250 ringgit.”

“But most commodity prices are in the doldrums, especially the whole grain complex. I don’t think palm oil will be spared.”
The benchmark December contract FCPOc3 on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rose to 2,222 ringgit in late trade, the highest since Aug. 11, before settling at 2,216 ringgit ($676) per tonne at Tuesday’s close, a 1.3 percent gain.

Palm prices have gained nearly 15 percent this month to notch their biggest monthly gain since April 2009, after plunging to a more-than-five-year low of 1,914 ringgit in early September.

The tropical oil, however, has lost 8.7 percent in the third quarter of this year to post its biggest quarterly loss since 2012.

Total traded volume stood at 43,225 lots of 25 tonnes each, above the usual 35,000 lots.
Technicals indicate palm oil may climb to a resistance at 2,224 ringgit, a break above which will lead to a further gain to 2,262 ringgit, according to market analyst Wang Tao. He added that the first support is at 2,163 ringgit and the second at 2,125 ringgit.

Chicago soybeans Sc1 eased and were on track for their biggest quarterly loss in six years, with a more than 34 percent drop, on pressure from mounting U.S. supplies and a strengthening dollar. GRA/

Higher supplies of soybeans for crushing would drag on soyoil prices and narrow palm’s discount to the rival edible oil, and could potentially prompt buyers to switch over food and fuel needs to soy.
In vegetable oil markets, the U.S. soyoil contract for December BOZ4 fell 0.5 percent in late Asian trade. The most active January soybean oil contract DBYcv1 on the Dalian Commodities Exchange gained 1.1 percent.
Market players will also be keeping a close watch on Malaysia’s palm oil inventories in September, after stocks jumped 22 percent to 2.05 million tonnes at end-August.

A recovery in export demand in September after Malaysia scrapped export duties on the crude grade raised hopes that stockpiles would not continue to surge.
“End stocks are very important — it could be marginally higher, or we could see a drawdown in September,” the trader added.
Indonesia, as expected, also scrapped its crude palm oil export tax for October.
The top producer on Tuesday also approved a plantations bill that aims to maximise land usage and open up the sector to smallholders, but dropped a controversial foreign ownership clause that had worried oil palm planters.
In other markets, Brent oil steadied above $97 a barrel on Tuesday, supported by U.S. and Chinese economic data, but was still set for its deepest quarterly drop in more than two years because of strong supply and a surging dollar.O/R

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1016 GMT

  Contract        Month    Last   Change     Low    High  Volume
  MY PALM OIL      OCT4    2233   +31.00    2223    2237     119
  MY PALM OIL      NOV4    2228   +34.00    2207    2232    5010
  MY PALM OIL      DEC4    2216   +28.00    2204    2222   21988
  CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN5    5240   +72.00    5176    5250  558414
  CHINA SOYOIL     JAN5    5898   +62.00    5890    5958  313544
  CBOT SOY OIL     DEC4   32.79    +0.60   32.66   33.02    6874
  INDIA PALM OIL   SEP4  474.20    +0.60  473.10  474.40     276
  INDIA SOYOIL     OCT4  616.90    -0.85  616.40  620.00   17950
  NYMEX CRUDE      NOV4   94.75    +0.18   94.18   94.90   22978


Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.279 Malaysian ringgit) 
($1 = 6.1395 Chinese yuan) 
($1 = 61.71 Indian rupees)

(Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Sunil Nair) 

Source : REUTERS

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